Nintendo has requested its partners and suppliers to assemble approximately 20 million Switch 2 consoles for the fiscal year ending in March 2027. This figure is about 20% higher than the company's official sales forecast of 16.5 million units for the same period [1, 2, 3, 4].
The production plan is not yet final and could be adjusted based on consumer demand, according to multiple sources [1, 3, 4]. The Switch 2, launched in June 2025, sold nearly 20 million units within its first year on the market, reaching this milestone by May 2026 [2, 3, 4]. This strong initial sales performance contrasts with Nintendo's official sales guidance for the current fiscal year, which projected a decline to 16.5 million units from the previous year's nearly 20 million [2, 3, 4].
Nintendo announced a planned price increase for the Switch 2 hardware effective September 2026. In the United States, the price will rise from $449.99 to $499.99. Similar price hikes are expected in Canada, Europe, and Japan [2, 3]. Despite this, industry analyst Serkan Toto predicts sales for the current fiscal year could still reach or exceed 18 million units. Toto noted that consumers will likely adjust to the higher price and that Nintendo may offset the impact through creative bundles or offers. He said, "My prediction is that Switch 2 sales will be 18 million units this fiscal year; if the actual figure exceeds that, I would not be surprised" [3].
Nintendo has a history of setting conservative production and sales targets, commonly surpassing them in actual performance [3, 4]. Toto remarked that "underreporting numbers first and then exceeding them is nothing bad for Nintendo," citing the just-ended accounting year as a good example [3].
With nearly two years on the market, Switch 2 continues to build momentum. The next significant event will be the hardware price increase scheduled for September 2026, which will test consumer response amid a lack of new marquee game releases like Super Mario this year [2, 3].
